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Game of Ratings

Are fantasy and horror overtaking sci-fi on TV?

The television industry is right in the middle of its "upfronts" period, where the major broadcast and cable networks unveil their fall schedules and set their advertising rates. The schedules allow TV reporters to see what shows have been canceled, which ones have been renewed and what new pilots have been ordered into series production -- all of which allows for some fairly unscientific speculation about what is trending on TV as we head into the fall.

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On the genre side of things, we think we see a curious phenomenon happening: Fantasy and horror shows seem to be getting the upper hand on science fiction. The latter has been a reliable staple over the years, with fantasy and horror not nearly as successful. Horror has fared especially poorly since "Buffy the Vampire Slayer" ended its run, with only "Supernatural" carrying the torch. But cable hits such as HBO's "True Blood" and AMC's "The Walking Dead" have given small-screen horror a new lease on (un)life, spilling over into the next tier of cable channels with efforts like FX's wildly successful "American Horror Story" and NBC's "The Vampire Diaries."

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Fantasy has had an even tougher time, but that's changed dramatically in just the last year or two. "Grimm" and "Once Upon a Time," both shows about fantasy beings disguised as "normal" humans (but other than that, very different shows), have both managed to earn a second season. "Once Upon a Time," which centers around fairy-tale characters who live, unwittingly trapped, in the cursed town of Storybrooke with no memory of their previous lives, was a solid hit for ABC on Sunday nights. "Grimm," meanwhile, which uses the police procedural format to follow a back-and-forth battle between human guardians (or "Grimms") and various mythological creatures, has struggled a bit more in the ratings but will also return. The season finale of "Once Upon a Time" aired this past Sunday (May 13), while "Grimm" closes out its first season on Friday (May 18).

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Game of Ratings

The success of both has been mirrored on cable by the phenomenal arrival of HBO's "Game of Thrones," which has taken a decidedly darker, more graphic, sex-and-violence kind of mature fantasy and turned it into must-see television. The complex plotlines, allusions to dragons and other races of supernatural beings, and intense, often lurid violence has not turned off audiences at all, but attracted viewers not inclined to pick up the thick novels on which the series is based. Season 2 has been even more labyrinthine and complicated than the first, yet the audience has stayed and HBO has already commissioned a third set of shows for 2013.

Science fiction, on the other hand, has had a rougher time. "Fringe," widely regarded as the best sci-fi show in recent memory, is winding down with a 13-episode fifth season, although the show lasted far longer than the ratings would have usually allowed. But other shows, like "V," "FlashForward" and "The Event," have all bit the dust, and this past season was marked by three high-profile flops: First, "Terra Nova," the enormously expensive and troubled dinosaur/time-travel show executive produced by Steven Spielberg, collapsed under its own weight, with an unfocused premise, irritating cast and shaky visual effects all contributing to its doom after one season. It was unreasonable to assume that FOX would keep something so bloated on the air.

"Awake," about a cop shuffling between two different universes, also took a ratings beating after a strong debut, and its 13th segment will be its last. Even more surprising, however, was the death of "Alcatraz," the new series from producing/directing/creating powerhouse J.J. Abrams' production company Bad Robot, after just 13 episodes. Whether it was the unwieldy concept (prisoners who vanished from the famous prison 50 years ago start turning up in the present) or the rather pedestrian "been there, done that" handling and feel of the show, audiences did not tune in. Could the invincible Abrams hit machine be grinding to a halt?

Well, maybe, but one of the new shows selected to premiere this fall is Abrams' ambitious "Revolution," which takes place in a future America where there is no more electrical power. Once again, it sounds like an interesting premise, but good writing and casting will be needed to make this one into a "Lost"-sized hit instead of a "one and done" like "Alcatraz." As always, we'll be watching ...

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