Sunday, Jan. 13, 2013, at 8 p.m. ET/5 p.m. PT on
Crystal-balling the Golden Globes
We survey the field and make our predictions for the big night
By Kat Murphy Special to MSN TV
You can bet your bottom dollar a plethora of fans will tune in to watch the
70th Annual Golden Globes blowout on Sunday, Jan. 13 (NBC, 8 p.m.ET/5 p.m. PT).
Not so much to savor the dubious critical integrity and taste exhibited by the
largely unknown yet bewilderingly influential members of the Hollywood Foreign
Press Association, but most definitely for "The Tina Fey and Amy Poehler Comedy Hour." Touting the
HFPA's awards ceremony in a promotional parody, the co-hosting queens of comedy
vamp and burble that Sunday will be "Splendid! Wondrous! Clever! Filled with
surprises and extreme pageantry! Slightly ghetto! Drunken!" As Liz Lemon would
say, "I want to go there!"
Unlike the festivities, this year's slate of movie and TV noms isn't likely
to generate big-time suspense or excitement, boozy or otherwise. Barring a few
surprises and snubs, the globular nominations pretty much mirror the
awards-circuit consensus on the year's best. That's in contrast to previous
off-the-wall choices by a group seemingly more jazzed by high-profile celebrity
guests than cutting-edge entertainment, let alone art. This year, thankfully,
there's not too much opportunity for outrage on the parts of the professionals
whose job it is to eyeball screens in their myriad of forms and sizes.
Let's take a look at the Golden Globes candidates for best movies and TV --
spiced up by our own only occasionally snarky opinionating, handicapping and
predictions about who and what the Hollywood Foreign Press will see fit to honor
in the New Year.
Handicapping: While Ang Lee's ambitious "Life of Pi"
failed to touch hearts or minds, Spielberg's "Lincoln" did both, transforming
political machinations into moving history with ease and grace. "Django"
rewrites the history of slavery by means of wild-hair cinematic style, and "Zero
Dark Thirty" pictures the pursuit of Osama bin Laden as obsession and
irresistible momentum. Hard to imagine what delusional mindset would pass up
"Zero Dark Thirty," "Lincoln," or "Django Unchained" -- gut-wrenching portraits
of America -- for the unexceptional though easy-to-love "Argo."
Handicapping: Gotta wonder how "Salmon Fishing in the
Yemen," Lasse Hallström's low-profile,
not-really-a-comedy film, managed to steal a march on the likes of "Magic Mike," an actual musical comedy
featuring the acting-dancing-stripping talents of hot hunks Channing Tatum and Matthew McConaughey. It doesn't
matter that "Moonrise Kingdom" outranks everything, even the endearing "Silver
Linings Playbook." It doesn't even matter that "Les Misérables" sucks. Millions
of clueless fans believe it to be "the best musical of all time" and so...
Handicapping: Two of the most gorgeously directed films of
the year were Paul Thomas Anderson's mysterious "The Master" and Wes Anderson's exquisite "Moonrise
Kingdom" -- but neither scored a Globe nomination. (On the plus side, Tom Hooper, the blatantly incompetent
director of "Les Misérables," is also MIA.) Real critics are voting for Kathryn
Bigelow, Steven Spielberg or Quentin Tarantino, filmmakers who fairly explode
the screen with kinetic/cinematic energy. But a popular meme from somewhere
insists that "Argo" is proof positive that Ben Affleck's now a top gun. It's
entirely possible that the wayward globesters could crown the pretender instead
of one of the three genuine claimants to the throne.
Winner: Ben Affleck, "Argo"
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE -
Handicapping: Inquiring minds want to know! Where is Quvenzhané Wallis, so enchanting in
"Beasts of the Southern Wild"? Can we
really compare this child's magical performance with one more predictably
professional acting turn by Mirren? And what Foreign Press know-nothing
nominated Cotillard while ignoring the magnificent Emmanuelle Riva ("Amour," nominated for Best Foreign
Film)? In "The Deep Blue Sea" Weisz fairly incandesces with unbridled passion,
but Watts and Cotillard suffer massive physical damage, always a plus on the
awards circuit. No question that Jessica Chastain, positively on fire as Kathryn
Bigelow's CIA Javert, should walk away with the prize, but French hottie
Cotillard might be a more welcome guest at the glitzy HFPA festivities.
Winner: Jessica Chastain, "Zero Dark Thirty"
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE- DRAMA
Handicapping: Every one of these nominees deserves his day
in the sun -- except Gere, out of his league in such high-powered company. Watch
a double-feature of "Arbitrage" and "The Grey," and dare to disagree that
the superb Liam Neeson should have claimed this
slot. Hawkes knocks it out of the park, somehow managing to make his wholly
handicapped soul into an ordinary, loveable Joe. Phoenix and Day-Lewis both work
without a net, getting inside larger-than-life characters so completely it looks
like some kind of sorcery. Either daredevil deserves laurels.
Winner: Daniel Day-Lewis, "Lincoln"
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE -
Handicapping: Somewhere it's written that if Maggie Smith is
nominated, Maggie Smith must win. Could be Judi Dench has been added to that
must-win list as well. But just in case reality intrudes on all that knee-jerk
anglophilia, remember how wonderfully fresh and genuine Meryl Streep was in
"Hope Springs." Still, the prize belongs to Jennifer Lawrence's performance in
"Silver Linings Playbook', the most adorably feisty female character in recent
Winner: Jennifer Lawrence, "Silver Linings Playbook"
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE -
Handicapping: Just one double take by aging grouch Tommy Lee Jones in "Hope Springs"
shows more acting chops than Bill Murray's entire tricksy turn in "Hyde Park."
And how is it that Ewan McGregor in "Salmon Fishing in the Yemen" scores for a
pleasant yet unexceptional performance, while the irascible Mr. Jones gets
zilch? Jack Black's brilliant in "Bernie," and Bradley Cooper's a keeper as a
manic-depressive charmer in "Playbook," but look for Hugh Jackman to take honors
for over-emoting his way through tiresomely melodramatic lyrics of "Les
Winner: Hugh Jackman, "Les Misérables"
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION
Handicapping: Adams is very fine in "The Master," but Field and Hunt deserve
Globe love for sharp and challenging performances we won't soon forget. But it's
"I Dreamed a Dream" Hathaway, object of blind affection by Les Mis fanatics, who
will triumph over actual acting chops. After all, she sang live, in close-up,
all the way through one looooong, hair-raising take!
Winner: Anne Hathaway, "Les Misérables"
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION
Handicapping: Disappointing not to see Matthew McConaughey's
name among the nominees, so memorably inventive was surf boy in "Magic Mike,"
"Bernie," and "The Paperboy." Sam Rockwell certainly deserved a nom
for inspired psychopathy in "Seven Psychopaths," and how could Robert De Niro ("Silver Linings
Playbook"), racking up critical plaudits everywhere else, be passed over?
Despite Philip Seymour Hoffman's towering performance in "The Master," this
Globe will go to either Christoph Waltz or Leonardo DiCaprio for their
extravagantly stylized characters in "Django."
Handicapping: So where is Leos Carax's "Holy Motors," the French stunner that
has wowed almost every critic who's seen it? Never mind; "Amour," Michael Haneke's masterpiece about
love and death, should win handily over its downscale competitors — unless the
easy sentimentality and sexual glamour of "Rust and Bone" trumps Haneke's high,
Handicapping: Gobsmacking snubs: Where are "Game of Thrones," "Mad Men" (first
omission since 2007) and most especially the late, much lamented "Luck"? Still, it's nice to see
"The Newsroom" in the lineup, even if the Aaron Sorkin newbie has yet to have a
major impact on anyone besides viewers pining for "West Wing" vibes.
"Downton Abbey" won last year in the miniseries category, but those hifalutin
Brits have nothing on Nucky's "Boardwalk Empire," which went deeper and darker,
drowning in brutal, unexpected and perverse fatalities. At long last, "Breaking
Bad" (winner of seven Emmys) crashes the category it was made for -- just when
high-octane "Homeland" should be primed to take home its second Globe.
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES -
Handicapping:Dustin Hoffman turned in one of the
most memorable performances of his career during the short-lived "Luck" --
but he's persona non grata here. If Jeff Daniels' "The Newsroom" continues his
first-season learning curve, he'll surely be in next year's running. But this
category is dominated by four top-of-the-line actors: Though Hamm and Buscemi
are perennial nominees, each has taken home only a single Globe -- and Hamm
hasn't had any love since 2008! Here's the rest of the dilemma: Cranston has
been tapped four times, for every season of "Breaking Bad," and has not -- can
you believe it? -- won once. Then there's Lewis, twice-nominated for "Homeland,"
who just plain knocked it out of the park this year. So which of these deserving
stars should win, the grizzled old American master or the ginger Brit?
Winner: Damian Lewis, "Homeland"
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES -
Handicapping: Hell-lo, globesters! Did you totally
miss Elisabeth Moss's terrific work in
"Mad Men"? Or Katey Sagal's motorcycle Medea in "Sons of Anarchy"? Yes,
we know you're all enamored of Close and Margulies and everyone in "Downton
Abbey," and you're still carrying the torch for Connie Britton's football
Madonna in "Friday Night
Lights," but please, please, please just do the right thing and give the
gold to the "Homeland" homegirl.
Handicapping: Looming void where "Louie" ought to be.
Come on, globesters, the ginger man's a
writing-directing-editing-producing-performing genius whose show consistently
pushes the comedic envelope! That glaring omission aside, "Episodes" continues
satirically hilarious, while "The Big Bang Theory" still satisfies. Maybe the
ever-bedazzled HFPA will queue up at the stage door for the star-studded mess
that is "Smash." Hope to be happily surprised by gold for "Girls," one of the
hippest, most original comedies going -- but probably much-loved "Modern Family"
has it in the bag. (Just don't get it: "Modern Family" up for best comedy, in a
world where "Louie" lives?!)
Winner: "Modern Family"
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES - COMEDY OR
Handicapping: Once and future king of comedy, Louis CK's the
man to beat, if there's any justice. Baldwin, Cheadle, Parsons and even the
brilliant LeBlanc must give it up to the pudgy dude in the black T-shirt who
mutates comedy into some kind of urban-ironic, heartbreaking, quirky font of
Winner: Louis CK, "Louie"
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES - COMEDY OR
Handicapping: What, no Mindy Kaling? Too soon?
Front-runners are eternally adorable Zooey and perpetual chuckle-machine
Louis-Dreyfus. Liz Lemon's already got two Globes on her mantel, and though the
multi-talented Dunham should be honored for keeping comedy sharp and real, isn't
it about time poor little Poehler -- twice nominated, never a winner -- got a
big hug from the Foreign Press? After all, she's standing right there on the
Winner: Amy Poehler, "Parks and Recreation"
BEST MINISERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
Handicapping: "Game Change" probably has no competition,
unless the Globe voters decide that five Emmys were enough and they should crown
something else. But what would that something else be? Surely even the erratic
HFPA voters realize that only "The Hour" stands out among these other pretty
pedestrian shows -- when "Sherlock," truly best
of the year, isn't even on the list.
Winner: "Game Change"
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MINISERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE
Handicapping: Despite that Emmy, we still can't figure out
how Costner's one-note turn as a vengeful redneck warrants heavy-duty
admiration; howsoever, the HFPA does love Hollywood stars who go a-slumming in
TV. Brits Jones and Owen don't stand a chance against Harrelson, sure to be
buoyed by the overall success of "Game Change." But the Englishman who deserves
to be knighted is the magnificent Cumberbatch, whose newly minted Sherlock
Holmes is smart, sexy and more than a little tragic.
Winner: Benedict Cumberbatch, "Sherlock"
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MINISERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE
Handicapping: Last year, the Golden Globe went to Kate Winslet for her shattering
performance as "Mildred Pierce." Who among the 2012
nominees comes anywhere near that achievement? Lange's gone completely Grand
Guignol, Kidman's "Gellhorn" and Weaver's "Animals" were only ideas of
flesh-and-blood feminists, and Miller's martyred movie star existed mainly to
flay Alfred Hitchcock. Julianne Moore, channeling a genuine
political animal, made her rivals' work look labored and artificial.
Winner: Julianne Moore, "Game Change"
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A SERIES,
MINISERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
Handicapping: OK, no one enjoys Danny Huston in sleazy
mobster mode more than me, and who wants to dis Greenfield of "New Girl,", but
why aren't Jared Harris ("Mad Men"), Peter Dinklage ("Game of Thrones"),
Martin Freeman ("Sherlock") and Aaron Paul ("Breaking Bad") among
this team of rivals? And why does the HFPA mash comedic and dramatic acting
together into a single overcrowded category? Here's the way it will probably go
down: Ed Harris is a strong contender for the Globe, Mandy Patinkin (nominated
twice before for "Homeland") deserves it and Eric Stonestreet will win it
because everyone loves Eric, and he's one of only two members of the "Modern
Family" coven nominated this year.
Winner: Eric Stonestreet, "Modern Family"
BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A SERIES,
MINISERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
Handicapping: Color me outraged that Christina Hendricks wasn't even
nominated, given her critically acclaimed work this season on "Mad Men"!
Panjabi, Paulson and, of course, Vergara are legitimate contenders, but somebody
has got to explain to me how the names of Hayden Panettiere and Maggie Smith can
show up in the same category without causing spontaneous combustion. If the HFPA
voters remember the Maggie Smith Must Win rule, then her "Downton Abbey" dowager
will earn yet another award for the Dame Commander of the Most Excellent Order
of the British Empire.
Kat, you have no business giving reviews. The only thing that really sucks is your assessment of Les Mis. Even if not your cup of tea, you lack the objectivity to give credit where credit is due. Shame on you!
What's wrong Kat....did you get passed over for a bit part in your high school rendition of "Les Miserables"??!! Why are you such a hater! Outside of Le Miz being the most polarizing movie in recent memory, the film is a testament to what going to the movies should be all about! Seeing these actors we've come to love like Russell Crowe and Hugh Jackman who have no business being in a operatic musical and to actually pull it off! Yeah....Anne Hathaway was in the movie for only like 15 minutes...GET OVER IT! None of the other nominees could have pulled off those scenes with such emotion and musical expertise!!! The others might as well stay home in their PJ's...oh that's right...can't miss that photo op or goodie bag!! Daniel Day-Lewis literally BECOMES the character he portrays so no shock if he bests a much deserving Hugh Jackman. I'm not a critic but I am in the 99% that actually PAY to watch these movies and Les Miserables left me speechless! It's the kind of movie that lifts your heart only to break it at the same time! Very few movies have been made that have the power to do that. Oscar will not be as blind as you....
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