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MSN ENTERTAINMENT'S GUIDE TO THE 70TH ANNUAL GOLDEN GLOBE AWARDS

GOLDEN GLOBES

®
Sunday, Jan. 13, 2013, at 8 p.m. ET/5 p.m. PT on NBC
'Modern Family'/ABC

Crystal-balling the Golden Globes

We survey the field and make our predictions for the big night

By Kat Murphy
Special to MSN TV

You can bet your bottom dollar a plethora of fans will tune in to watch the 70th Annual Golden Globes blowout on Sunday, Jan. 13 (NBC, 8 p.m.ET/5 p.m. PT). Not so much to savor the dubious critical integrity and taste exhibited by the largely unknown yet bewilderingly influential members of the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, but most definitely for "The Tina Fey and Amy Poehler Comedy Hour." Touting the HFPA's awards ceremony in a promotional parody, the co-hosting queens of comedy vamp and burble that Sunday will be "Splendid! Wondrous! Clever! Filled with surprises and extreme pageantry! Slightly ghetto! Drunken!" As Liz Lemon would say, "I want to go there!"

Unlike the festivities, this year's slate of movie and TV noms isn't likely to generate big-time suspense or excitement, boozy or otherwise. Barring a few surprises and snubs, the globular nominations pretty much mirror the awards-circuit consensus on the year's best. That's in contrast to previous off-the-wall choices by a group seemingly more jazzed by high-profile celebrity guests than cutting-edge entertainment, let alone art. This year, thankfully, there's not too much opportunity for outrage on the parts of the professionals whose job it is to eyeball screens in their myriad of forms and sizes.

Let's take a look at the Golden Globes candidates for best movies and TV -- spiced up by our own only occasionally snarky opinionating, handicapping and predictions about who and what the Hollywood Foreign Press will see fit to honor in the New Year.

GOLDEN GLOBES NOMINATIONS - FILM

BEST MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA

"Argo"
"Django Unchained"
"Life of Pi"
"Lincoln"
"Zero Dark Thirty"

Handicapping: While Ang Lee's ambitious "Life of Pi" failed to touch hearts or minds, Spielberg's "Lincoln" did both, transforming political machinations into moving history with ease and grace. "Django" rewrites the history of slavery by means of wild-hair cinematic style, and "Zero Dark Thirty" pictures the pursuit of Osama bin Laden as obsession and irresistible momentum. Hard to imagine what delusional mindset would pass up "Zero Dark Thirty," "Lincoln," or "Django Unchained" -- gut-wrenching portraits of America -- for the unexceptional though easy-to-love "Argo."

Winner: "Lincoln"

BEST MOTION PICTURE - COMEDY/MUSICAL

"The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel"
"Les Misérables"
"Moonrise Kingdom"
"Salmon Fishing in the Yemen"
"Silver Linings Playbook"

Handicapping: Gotta wonder how "Salmon Fishing in the Yemen," Lasse Hallström's low-profile, not-really-a-comedy film, managed to steal a march on the likes of "Magic Mike," an actual musical comedy featuring the acting-dancing-stripping talents of hot hunks Channing Tatum and Matthew McConaughey. It doesn't matter that "Moonrise Kingdom" outranks everything, even the endearing "Silver Linings Playbook." It doesn't even matter that "Les Misérables" sucks. Millions of clueless fans believe it to be "the best musical of all time" and so...

Winner: "Les Misérables"

BEST DIRECTOR - MOTION PICTURE

Ben Affleck - "Argo"
Quentin Tarantino - "Django Unchained"
Ang Lee - "Life of Pi"
Steven Spielberg - "Lincoln"
Kathryn Bigelow - "Zero Dark Thirty"

Handicapping: Two of the most gorgeously directed films of the year were Paul Thomas Anderson's mysterious "The Master" and Wes Anderson's exquisite "Moonrise Kingdom" -- but neither scored a Globe nomination. (On the plus side, Tom Hooper, the blatantly incompetent director of "Les Misérables," is also MIA.) Real critics are voting for Kathryn Bigelow, Steven Spielberg or Quentin Tarantino, filmmakers who fairly explode the screen with kinetic/cinematic energy. But a popular meme from somewhere insists that "Argo" is proof positive that Ben Affleck's now a top gun. It's entirely possible that the wayward globesters could crown the pretender instead of one of the three genuine claimants to the throne.

Winner: Ben Affleck, "Argo"

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - DRAMA

Rachel Weisz - "The Deep Blue Sea"
Helen Mirren - "Hitchcock"
Naomi Watts - "The Impossible"
Marion Cotillard - "Rust and Bone"
Jessica Chastain - "Zero Dark Thirty"

Handicapping: Inquiring minds want to know! Where is Quvenzhané Wallis, so enchanting in "Beasts of the Southern Wild"? Can we really compare this child's magical performance with one more predictably professional acting turn by Mirren? And what Foreign Press know-nothing nominated Cotillard while ignoring the magnificent Emmanuelle Riva ("Amour," nominated for Best Foreign Film)? In "The Deep Blue Sea" Weisz fairly incandesces with unbridled passion, but Watts and Cotillard suffer massive physical damage, always a plus on the awards circuit. No question that Jessica Chastain, positively on fire as Kathryn Bigelow's CIA Javert, should walk away with the prize, but French hottie Cotillard might be a more welcome guest at the glitzy HFPA festivities.

Winner: Jessica Chastain, "Zero Dark Thirty"

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE- DRAMA

Richard Gere - "Arbitrage"
Denzel Washington - "Flight"
Daniel Day-Lewis - "Lincoln"
Joaquin Phoenix - "The Master"
John Hawkes - "The Sessions"

Handicapping: Every one of these nominees deserves his day in the sun -- except Gere, out of his league in such high-powered company. Watch a double-feature of "Arbitrage" and "The Grey," and dare to disagree that the superb Liam Neeson should have claimed this slot. Hawkes knocks it out of the park, somehow managing to make his wholly handicapped soul into an ordinary, loveable Joe. Phoenix and Day-Lewis both work without a net, getting inside larger-than-life characters so completely it looks like some kind of sorcery. Either daredevil deserves laurels.

Winner: Daniel Day-Lewis, "Lincoln"

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE - COMEDY/MUSICAL

Judi Dench - "The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel"
Meryl Streep - "Hope Springs"
Maggie Smith - "Quartet"
Emily Blunt - "Salmon Fishing in the Yemen"
Jennifer Lawrence - "Silver Linings Playbook"

Handicapping: Somewhere it's written that if Maggie Smith is nominated, Maggie Smith must win. Could be Judi Dench has been added to that must-win list as well. But just in case reality intrudes on all that knee-jerk anglophilia, remember how wonderfully fresh and genuine Meryl Streep was in "Hope Springs." Still, the prize belongs to Jennifer Lawrence's performance in "Silver Linings Playbook', the most adorably feisty female character in recent movie memory.

Winner: Jennifer Lawrence, "Silver Linings Playbook"

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE - COMEDY/MUSICAL

Jack Black - "Bernie"
Bill Murray - "Hyde Park on Hudson"
Hugh Jackman - "Les Misérables"
Ewan McGregor - "Salmon Fishing in the Yemen"
Bradley Cooper - "Silver Linings Playbook"

Handicapping: Just one double take by aging grouch Tommy Lee Jones in "Hope Springs" shows more acting chops than Bill Murray's entire tricksy turn in "Hyde Park." And how is it that Ewan McGregor in "Salmon Fishing in the Yemen" scores for a pleasant yet unexceptional performance, while the irascible Mr. Jones gets zilch? Jack Black's brilliant in "Bernie," and Bradley Cooper's a keeper as a manic-depressive charmer in "Playbook," but look for Hugh Jackman to take honors for over-emoting his way through tiresomely melodramatic lyrics of "Les Misérables."

Winner: Hugh Jackman, "Les Misérables"

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE

Anne Hathaway - "Les Misérables"
Sally Field - "Lincoln"
Amy Adams - "The Master"
Nicole Kidman - "The Paperboy"
Helen Hunt - "The Sessions"

Handicapping: Adams is very fine in "The Master," but Field and Hunt deserve Globe love for sharp and challenging performances we won't soon forget. But it's "I Dreamed a Dream" Hathaway, object of blind affection by Les Mis fanatics, who will triumph over actual acting chops. After all, she sang live, in close-up, all the way through one looooong, hair-raising take!

Winner: Anne Hathaway, "Les Misérables"

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE

Alan Arkin - "Argo"
Christoph Waltz - "Django Unchained"
Leonardo DiCaprio - "Django Unchained"
Tommy Lee Jones - "Lincoln"
Philip Seymour Hoffman - "The Master"

Handicapping: Disappointing not to see Matthew McConaughey's name among the nominees, so memorably inventive was surf boy in "Magic Mike," "Bernie," and "The Paperboy." Sam Rockwell certainly deserved a nom for inspired psychopathy in "Seven Psychopaths," and how could Robert De Niro ("Silver Linings Playbook"), racking up critical plaudits everywhere else, be passed over? Despite Philip Seymour Hoffman's towering performance in "The Master," this Globe will go to either Christoph Waltz or Leonardo DiCaprio for their extravagantly stylized characters in "Django."

Winner: Leonardo DiCaprio, "Django Unchained"

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

"Amour"
"The Intouchables"
"Kon-Tiki"
"A Royal Affair"
"Rust and Bone"

Handicapping: So where is Leos Carax's "Holy Motors," the French stunner that has wowed almost every critic who's seen it? Never mind; "Amour," Michael Haneke's masterpiece about love and death, should win handily over its downscale competitors — unless the easy sentimentality and sexual glamour of "Rust and Bone" trumps Haneke's high, hard art.

Winner: "Amour"

GOLDEN GLOBE NOMINATIONS - TELEVISION

BEST TELEVISION SERIES - DRAMA

"Breaking Bad"
"Boardwalk Empire"
"Downton Abbey"
"Homeland"
"The Newsroom"

Handicapping: Gobsmacking snubs: Where are "Game of Thrones," "Mad Men" (first omission since 2007) and most especially the late, much lamented "Luck"? Still, it's nice to see "The Newsroom" in the lineup, even if the Aaron Sorkin newbie has yet to have a major impact on anyone besides viewers pining for "West Wing" vibes. "Downton Abbey" won last year in the miniseries category, but those hifalutin Brits have nothing on Nucky's "Boardwalk Empire," which went deeper and darker, drowning in brutal, unexpected and perverse fatalities. At long last, "Breaking Bad" (winner of seven Emmys) crashes the category it was made for -- just when high-octane "Homeland" should be primed to take home its second Globe.

Winner: "Homeland"

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES - DRAMA

Steve Buscemi - "Boardwalk Empire"
Bryan Cranston - "Breaking Bad"
Jeff Daniels - "The Newsroom"
Jon Hamm - "Mad Men"
Damian Lewis - "Homeland"

Handicapping: Dustin Hoffman turned in one of the most memorable performances of his career during the short-lived "Luck" -- but he's persona non grata here. If Jeff Daniels' "The Newsroom" continues his first-season learning curve, he'll surely be in next year's running. But this category is dominated by four top-of-the-line actors: Though Hamm and Buscemi are perennial nominees, each has taken home only a single Globe -- and Hamm hasn't had any love since 2008! Here's the rest of the dilemma: Cranston has been tapped four times, for every season of "Breaking Bad," and has not -- can you believe it? -- won once. Then there's Lewis, twice-nominated for "Homeland," who just plain knocked it out of the park this year. So which of these deserving stars should win, the grizzled old American master or the ginger Brit?

Winner: Damian Lewis, "Homeland"

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES - DRAMA

Connie Britton - "Nashville"
Glenn Close - "Damages"
Claire Danes - "Homeland"
Michelle Dockery - "Downton Abbey"
Julianna Margulies - "The Good Wife"

Handicapping: Hell-lo, globesters! Did you totally miss Elisabeth Moss's terrific work in "Mad Men"? Or Katey Sagal's motorcycle Medea in "Sons of Anarchy"? Yes, we know you're all enamored of Close and Margulies and everyone in "Downton Abbey," and you're still carrying the torch for Connie Britton's football Madonna in "Friday Night Lights," but please, please, please just do the right thing and give the gold to the "Homeland" homegirl.

Winner: Claire Danes, "Homeland"

BEST TELEVISION SERIES - COMEDY OR MUSICAL

"The Big Bang Theory"
"Episodes"
"Girls"
"Modern Family"
"Smash"

Handicapping: Looming void where "Louie" ought to be. Come on, globesters, the ginger man's a writing-directing-editing-producing-performing genius whose show consistently pushes the comedic envelope! That glaring omission aside, "Episodes" continues satirically hilarious, while "The Big Bang Theory" still satisfies. Maybe the ever-bedazzled HFPA will queue up at the stage door for the star-studded mess that is "Smash." Hope to be happily surprised by gold for "Girls," one of the hippest, most original comedies going -- but probably much-loved "Modern Family" has it in the bag. (Just don't get it: "Modern Family" up for best comedy, in a world where "Louie" lives?!)

Winner: "Modern Family"

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES - COMEDY OR MUSICAL

Alec Baldwin - "30 Rock"
Don Cheadle - "House of Lies"
Louis CK - "Louie"
Matt LeBlanc - "Episodes"
Jim Parsons - "The Big Bang Theory"

Handicapping: Once and future king of comedy, Louis CK's the man to beat, if there's any justice. Baldwin, Cheadle, Parsons and even the brilliant LeBlanc must give it up to the pudgy dude in the black T-shirt who mutates comedy into some kind of urban-ironic, heartbreaking, quirky font of existential wisdom.

Winner: Louis CK, "Louie"

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES - COMEDY OR MUSICAL

Zooey Deschanel - "New Girl"
Julia Louis-Dreyfus - "Veep"
Lena Dunham - "Girls"
Amy Poehler - "Parks and Recreation"
Tina Fey - "30 Rock"

Handicapping: What, no Mindy Kaling? Too soon? Front-runners are eternally adorable Zooey and perpetual chuckle-machine Louis-Dreyfus. Liz Lemon's already got two Globes on her mantel, and though the multi-talented Dunham should be honored for keeping comedy sharp and real, isn't it about time poor little Poehler -- twice nominated, never a winner -- got a big hug from the Foreign Press? After all, she's standing right there on the stage!

Winner: Amy Poehler, "Parks and Recreation"

BEST MINISERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

"Game Change"
"The Girl"
"The Hour"
"Political Animals"
"Hatfields & McCoys"

Handicapping: "Game Change" probably has no competition, unless the Globe voters decide that five Emmys were enough and they should crown something else. But what would that something else be? Surely even the erratic HFPA voters realize that only "The Hour" stands out among these other pretty pedestrian shows -- when "Sherlock," truly best of the year, isn't even on the list.

Winner: "Game Change"

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MINISERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

Kevin Costner - "Hatfields & McCoys"
Benedict Cumberbatch - "Sherlock"
Woody Harrelson - "Game Change"
Toby Jones - "The Girl"
Clive Owen - "Hemingway & Gellhorn"

Handicapping: Despite that Emmy, we still can't figure out how Costner's one-note turn as a vengeful redneck warrants heavy-duty admiration; howsoever, the HFPA does love Hollywood stars who go a-slumming in TV. Brits Jones and Owen don't stand a chance against Harrelson, sure to be buoyed by the overall success of "Game Change." But the Englishman who deserves to be knighted is the magnificent Cumberbatch, whose newly minted Sherlock Holmes is smart, sexy and more than a little tragic.

Winner: Benedict Cumberbatch, "Sherlock"

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MINISERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

Nicole Kidman - "Hemingway & Gellhorn"
Jessica Lange - "American Horror Story: Asylum"
Sienna Miller - "The Girl"
Julianne Moore - "Game Change"
Sigourney Weaver - "Political Animals"

Handicapping: Last year, the Golden Globe went to Kate Winslet for her shattering performance as "Mildred Pierce." Who among the 2012 nominees comes anywhere near that achievement? Lange's gone completely Grand Guignol, Kidman's "Gellhorn" and Weaver's "Animals" were only ideas of flesh-and-blood feminists, and Miller's martyred movie star existed mainly to flay Alfred Hitchcock. Julianne Moore, channeling a genuine political animal, made her rivals' work look labored and artificial.

Winner: Julianne Moore, "Game Change"

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A SERIES, MINISERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

Max Greenfield - "New Girl"
Ed Harris - "Game Change"
Danny Huston - "Magic City"
Mandy Patinkin - "Homeland"
Eric Stonestreet - "Modern Family"

Handicapping: OK, no one enjoys Danny Huston in sleazy mobster mode more than me, and who wants to dis Greenfield of "New Girl,", but why aren't Jared Harris ("Mad Men"), Peter Dinklage ("Game of Thrones"), Martin Freeman ("Sherlock") and Aaron Paul ("Breaking Bad") among this team of rivals? And why does the HFPA mash comedic and dramatic acting together into a single overcrowded category? Here's the way it will probably go down: Ed Harris is a strong contender for the Globe, Mandy Patinkin (nominated twice before for "Homeland") deserves it and Eric Stonestreet will win it because everyone loves Eric, and he's one of only two members of the "Modern Family" coven nominated this year.

Winner: Eric Stonestreet, "Modern Family"

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A SERIES, MINISERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION

Hayden Panettiere - "Nashville"
Archie Panjabi - "The Good Wife"
Sarah Paulson - "Game Change"
Maggie Smith - "Downton Abbey"
Sofia Vergara - "Modern Family"

Handicapping: Color me outraged that Christina Hendricks wasn't even nominated, given her critically acclaimed work this season on "Mad Men"! Panjabi, Paulson and, of course, Vergara are legitimate contenders, but somebody has got to explain to me how the names of Hayden Panettiere and Maggie Smith can show up in the same category without causing spontaneous combustion. If the HFPA voters remember the Maggie Smith Must Win rule, then her "Downton Abbey" dowager will earn yet another award for the Dame Commander of the Most Excellent Order of the British Empire.

Winner: Maggie Smith, "Downton Abbey"

60Comments
Jan 13, 2013 2:01AM
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Kat, you have no business giving reviews. The only thing that really sucks is your assessment of Les Mis. Even if not your cup of tea, you lack the objectivity to give credit where credit is due. Shame on you!
Jan 9, 2013 10:37AM
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What's wrong Kat....did you get passed over for a bit part in your high school rendition of "Les Miserables"??!! Why are you such a hater! Outside of Le Miz being the most polarizing movie in recent memory, the film is a testament to what going to the movies should be all about! Seeing these actors we've come to love like Russell Crowe and Hugh Jackman who have no business being in a operatic musical and to actually pull it off! Yeah....Anne Hathaway was in the movie for only like 15 minutes...GET OVER IT! None of the other nominees could have pulled off those scenes with such emotion and musical expertise!!! The others might as well stay home in their PJ's...oh that's right...can't miss that photo op or goodie bag!! Daniel Day-Lewis literally BECOMES the character he portrays so no shock if he bests a much deserving Hugh Jackman. I'm not a critic but I am in the 99% that actually PAY to watch these movies and Les Miserables left me speechless! It's the kind of movie that lifts your heart only to break it at the same time! Very few movies have been made that have the power to do that. Oscar will not be as blind as you....
Jan 13, 2013 3:36AM
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Get up on the wrong side of the bed, Kat?
Jan 13, 2013 5:46AM
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Lincoln should sweep as far as I'm concerned. Best movie I have ever seen. That goes for the Oscars as well. Spielberg is a master film maker. One of the best....
Jan 13, 2013 3:27AM
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Award shows always go better when women MC (a lot less controversy after wards).

I'm glad they chose Tina F, and Amy P, this year. They're apt to give us a chuckle, for sure!
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MSN TV analyzes the competition and predicts the winners of the 2013 Golden Globes. MSN Entertainment's guide to the 2013 Golden Globes is your go-to resource for full coverage of the awards with predictions, red-carpet coverage, nominees, winners, videos, photos, highlights and more.
 

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